Traffic is diagnostic, not the north star
- Baseline
- Major
- IF
- AND
- THEN
- ELSE
The decision
- IF
- organic traffic increases AND qualified conversions or margin do not
- THEN
- diagnose intent quality, audience fit, next-action continuity, and attribution
- ELSE
- continue scaling only while downstream value and guardrails remain healthy
- Primary metric
- incremental organic contribution margin
- Guardrail
- lead quality, sales capacity, refund rate
- Reason
- Makes the decision explicit, measurable, and reversible where possible.
- LAKA levels
- Baseline
- Major
- Operators
- IF
- AND
- THEN
- ELSE
- Governs gates
- demand
- business value
- Source
- 04-IF-ELSE-AND-OR-RULEBOOK.md — BIZ-002 — Traffic is diagnostic, not the north star
The other eleven rules in Business Value
- BIZ-001 Define value before volume IF the program has no defined qualified business event Baseline
- BIZ-003 Separate forecasts from actuals IF search volume, CTR, conversion, or revenue is estimated Baseline
- BIZ-004 Respect fulfillment capacity IF expected qualified demand exceeds delivery or sales capacity Structural
- BIZ-005 Model offers separately IF different offers have materially different audiences, margins, sales cycles, or qualification rules Structural
- BIZ-006 Count assisted value carefully IF an informational asset rarely receives last-click conversions but appears in qualified journeys Baseline
- BIZ-007 Split branded and non-branded demand IF brand familiarity materially changes intent, CTR, or conversion Baseline
- BIZ-008 Include retention and expansion IF organic search serves existing customers, support, renewal, or repeat purchase tasks Major
- BIZ-009 Raise evidence thresholds for high stakes IF the topic can materially affect health, money, safety, legal rights, or major decisions Major
- BIZ-010 Resolve competing goals explicitly IF traffic, lead quality, margin, brand, retention, and learning objectives conflict Baseline
- BIZ-011 Allocate by marginal value IF multiple valid initiatives compete for limited resources Baseline
- BIZ-012 Use economic stop rules IF expected remaining incremental value is below expected cost OR risk exceeds tolerance Baseline
This rule as JSON: GET /v1/rules/BIZ-002